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Red10
373013.3
44110.3
47467.6
Blue7
41558.9
333511.2
39615.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33301020405060107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3730
#34
13.31.8
9.98.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
3335
#25
11.21.9
12.010.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
441
#12
10.31.8
12.810.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
4155
#37
8.91.9
11.69.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4746
#42
7.60.0
7.67.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
3961
#11
5.61.9
6.34.4
Auto
Teleop
End