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Red6
288214.5
258514.3
369611.8
Blue36
180112.4
384713.9
70422.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28460206080100120140636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2882
#43
14.52.0
10.98.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
704
#10
22.10.6
16.916.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2585
#18
14.32.0
9.57.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3847
#23
13.90.6
13.913.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3696
#32
11.82.0
9.97.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1801
#26
12.40.4
12.311.9
Auto
Teleop
End