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Red38
366611.8
458719.2
37359.2
Blue3
27375.6
35265.4
29822.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31280102040506070383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.29.0
19.210.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.7
2737
#44
5.62.2
8.66.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3666
#22
11.80.7
8.89.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
3526
#30
5.42.2
12.610.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3735
#40
9.20.7
10.911.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
2982
#50
2.32.2
8.36.1
Auto
Teleop
End