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Red107
406331.9
246833.6
278919.2
Blue92
39999.6
198728.5
333518.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695102040608010012014016010792

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.60.7
27.428.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
1987
#13
28.50.6
27.828.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
31.90.7
25.626.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.7
18.20.6
17.518.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2789
#43
19.20.7
13.013.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.6
3999
#34
9.60.8
8.79.5
Auto
Teleop
End