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Red117
45716.9
62458.2
147750.9
Blue121
406331.9
246833.6
278919.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13865050100150200250117121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#4
58.20.2
58.458.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.6
33.60.7
30.831.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
50.90.2
51.050.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.0
31.90.7
29.129.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
457
#41
16.90.2
17.116.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
2789
#43
19.20.7
16.417.2
Auto
Teleop
End