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Red116
205323.8
301536.6
236329.5
Blue143
161025.9
126234.1
154133.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86876080100120140116143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.60.5
35.836.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
1262
#17
34.11.4
31.332.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2363
#24
29.50.5
28.629.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
33.71.4
31.032.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2053
#18
23.80.7
22.623.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
1610
#33
25.90.9
24.024.9
Auto
Teleop
End