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Red107
301536.6
205323.8
236329.5
Blue96
161025.9
126234.1
154133.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8890708010011012013010796

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.60.3
36.336.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
1262
#17
34.10.1
32.732.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2363
#24
29.50.3
29.129.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
33.70.1
32.432.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2053
#18
23.80.4
23.323.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
1610
#33
25.90.1
24.925.0
Auto
Teleop
End