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Red40
33075.7
362424.0
11378.2
Blue46
109510.3
202111.1
447215.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35280204060801004046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3624
#22
24.00.5
20.020.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
4472
#11
15.01.4
12.714.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1137
#63
8.20.5
8.69.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
2021
#20
11.11.4
9.110.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3307
#38
5.70.5
5.25.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
1095
#58
10.31.4
7.58.9
Auto
Teleop
End