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Qual 702013 Virginia Regional
Red43
38412.2
335910.7
205323.8
Blue51
190817.7
54014.5
219921.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385202060801004351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2053
#18
23.80.2
20.4→20.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.4
2199
#26
21.40.1
23.5→23.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
384
#52
12.20.2
12.2→12.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.5
1908
#6
17.70.1
14.3→14.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3359
#51
10.70.2
7.9→8.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.8
540
#8
14.50.1
12.4→12.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—