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Red19
378925.8
252224.3
29269.4
Blue50
213046.0
169512.5
368122.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions536601001502001950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3789
#29Sur
25.81.8
27.725.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.2
2130
#1Sur
46.00.8
33.933.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2522
#32
24.32.0
17.515.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
3681
#25
22.40.8
15.614.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2926
#37
9.41.8
9.77.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
1695
#18
12.51.2
14.513.4
Auto
Teleop
End