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Red101
313120.7
214725.4
159531.8
Blue69
41315.3
212230.5
396822.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5948020408010012014010169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1595
#10
31.82.2
25.127.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
2122
#28
30.51.0
23.024.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2147
#14
25.42.4
16.819.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
3968
#20
22.91.0
19.720.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
20.72.4
15.317.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.3
4131
#39Sur
5.31.6
6.98.5
Auto
Teleop
End