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Red58
214725.4
38317.7
252224.3
Blue124
299027.0
273326.9
314529.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4974020406010012014058124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2147
#14
25.40.2
23.423.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
29.32.7
24.727.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2522
#32
24.30.2
22.322.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
27.02.7
22.825.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3831
#41
7.70.3
7.57.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.3
2733
#16
26.92.7
22.625.3
Auto
Teleop
End