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Red68
159531.8
41047.6
396822.9
Blue31
412519.8
378925.8
266011.0
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575201001502006831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1595
#10
31.80.6
29.229.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
3789
#29
25.81.1
24.022.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3968
#20
22.90.6
22.322.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
4125
#31
19.81.1
17.116.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4104
#36
7.60.8
4.95.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
2660
#38
11.01.4
11.39.9
Auto
Teleop
End