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Red80
290739.3
403025.2
40828.6
Blue52
451317.3
331514.0
324318.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74360501001508052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2907
#12
39.30.6
37.538.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.5
3243
#23
18.80.5
16.717.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4030
#15
25.20.6
22.423.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
4513
#19
17.30.7
14.815.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4082
#26
8.60.8
7.88.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
3315
#21
14.00.7
10.411.0
Auto
Teleop
End