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Red89
366211.5
451228.6
455912.6
Blue15
30708.5
241214.6
291017.3
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32500204060801001208915

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4512
#13
28.64.5
10.715.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
2910
#53
17.31.6
16.815.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4559
#50
12.64.5
13.718.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
2412
#52
14.61.6
16.014.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3662
#60
11.54.5
10.314.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
3070
#54
8.52.7
14.511.8
Auto
Teleop
End