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Red55
177813.8
403010.6
433424.3
Blue64
407715.5
321917.6
357416.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464402060801005564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4334
#43
24.30.8
14.615.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
3219
#47
17.61.0
17.718.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1778
#27
13.80.8
18.619.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
3574
#46
16.81.1
14.815.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4030
#62
10.60.8
12.713.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
4077
#16
15.51.7
11.513.1
Auto
Teleop
End