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Red182
71635.7
19563.5
22828.2
Blue43
107115.4
10990.4
23041.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12757010015020025018243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
Unranked
63.53.3
54.758.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.8
230
Unranked
41.71.3
45.944.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
716
Unranked
35.73.3
32.736.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.3
1071
Unranked
15.41.3
20.719.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
228
Unranked
28.23.3
29.032.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.8
1099
Unranked
0.41.3
1.50.2
Auto
Teleop
End