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Red68
346112.4
217022.4
36547.7
Blue35
179627.5
352525.2
57112.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32820501001502002506835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2170
Unranked
22.41.5
25.126.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
1796
Unranked
27.52.0
30.428.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3461
Unranked
12.41.5
7.69.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.8
3525
Unranked
25.22.0
28.326.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3654
Unranked
7.71.4
7.58.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
571
Unranked
12.82.0
15.413.4
Auto
Teleop
End