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Qual 272014 Western Canada Regional
Red115
529215.7
201385.3
514018.1
Blue295
321625.9
518463.7
460431.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134330100200250300350400115295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#2
85.30.2
75.1→75.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 21.7
5184
#4
63.720.5
24.9→45.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
5140
#21
18.10.3
18.1→17.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 13.2
4604
#14
31.320.5
13.5→34.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5292
#32
15.70.3
25.0→24.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 10.2
3216
#28
25.920.5
10.0→30.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—