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Red126
213051.4
473313.5
46347.9
Blue175
511615.4
475123.5
148236.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51700100150200250300126175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.46.0
34.340.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.9
1482
#13
36.55.4
19.524.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4733
#27
13.56.0
6.412.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.0
4751
#30
23.59.0
34.343.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4634
#35
7.96.0
12.918.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
5116
#19
15.49.0
13.022.0
Auto
Teleop
End