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Red10
463324.0
169520.7
511810.2
Blue16
462512.0
501534.4
51174.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67370501001502002501016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4633
#11
24.04.4
35.230.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.4
34.42.2
17.615.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1695
#20
20.74.4
21.717.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
4625
#22
12.02.2
12.09.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5118
#34
10.24.4
5.71.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
5117
#33
4.02.2
12.110.0
Auto
Teleop
End