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Red210
433489.9
148236.5
314572.3
Blue152
518521.0
529611.4
201385.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1461010200300400210152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.93.5
62.165.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
85.32.2
75.077.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
72.35.9
51.957.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 51.3
5185
#23
21.03.7
17.721.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1482
#13
36.53.5
24.928.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.1
5296
#18
11.43.7
15.319.0
Auto
Teleop
End