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Red95
24449.1
460431.3
321625.9
Blue176
473313.5
299444.8
501534.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11344020030040050095176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244
#12
49.10.4
37.537.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
44.86.0
27.233.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4604
#14
31.30.6
34.133.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
34.410.1
15.525.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3216
#28
25.90.6
30.630.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.4
4733
#27
13.510.1
12.422.5
Auto
Teleop
End