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Red65
511615.4
169520.7
213051.4
Blue11
511810.2
351326.6
459123.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions855101001502002506511

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.41.2
40.439.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.8
3513
#16
26.63.8
30.426.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1695
#20
20.71.2
17.316.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
4591
#10
23.43.8
24.420.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5116
#19
15.41.2
22.020.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
5118
#34
10.23.8
1.3-2.4
Auto
Teleop
End