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Red100
21631.3
133463.3
507835.6
Blue151
433489.9
463324.0
471928.9
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031300200300400500600100151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.30.4
60.860.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 26.6
89.91.3
65.767.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5078
#26
35.60.6
19.719.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
4719
#17
28.92.1
29.331.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
216
#7
31.30.4
26.926.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
4633
#11
24.02.1
30.932.9
Auto
Teleop
End