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Red130
321625.9
314572.3
351326.6
Blue176
506420.5
148236.5
24449.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120840200300400130176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.31.3
57.859.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.2
244
#12
49.14.3
37.241.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3513
#16
26.61.3
26.728.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.9
1482
#13
36.54.3
28.532.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3216
#28
25.91.3
30.031.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
5064
#29
20.57.2
23.630.8
Auto
Teleop
End