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Red240
39983.5
362060.8
262636.6
Blue150
248599.3
54857.8
500636.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1641810100300400500240150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#1
83.53.7
79.783.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.7
2485
#17
99.31.4
94.493.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3620
#75
60.83.7
58.161.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
548
#64
57.81.4
55.253.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2626
#44
36.63.7
28.732.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
5006
#95
36.31.4
28.727.3
Auto
Teleop
End