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Red261
213781.6
519637.1
259094.5
Blue117
429640.6
504123.9
283448.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20584050150250300350261117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.53.7
86.890.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 46.2
2834
#37
48.30.7
46.146.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
81.63.7
74.277.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 41.0
4296
#21
40.60.7
36.437.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5196
#42
37.13.7
25.829.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.2
5041
#60
23.90.7
19.920.6
Auto
Teleop
End