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Red226
5176.1
265552.7
10345.6
Blue156
22931.7
352556.4
470732.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162106050200250300350226156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#11
76.13.6
70.073.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.7
3525
#90
56.42.1
57.259.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2655
#36
52.73.6
45.749.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.5
4707
#93
32.22.1
31.733.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
103
#80
45.63.6
37.641.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.9
229
#87
31.72.1
26.128.1
Auto
Teleop
End