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Red207
426576.0
297833.5
493336.8
Blue186
250245.6
260765.2
257621.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132120050100150200250207186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4265
#38
76.03.8
69.873.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.9
2607
#91
65.23.2
60.763.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4933
#86
36.83.8
33.537.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.8
2502
#68
45.63.2
44.147.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2978
#73
33.53.8
27.231.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.9
2576
#88
21.53.2
17.220.4
Auto
Teleop
End