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Red200
27102.9
528828.3
321141.8
Blue117
35757.9
491166.6
503033.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163160100150200250200117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#3
102.91.9
106.9108.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 36.3
4911
#19
66.62.2
65.563.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3211
#72
41.81.9
36.738.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.0
357
#47
57.92.2
58.055.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5288
#58
28.31.9
17.719.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
5030
#78
33.62.2
37.935.7
Auto
Teleop
End