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Red122
51347.7
42239.5
63951.6
Blue231
22931.7
262636.6
151971.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88130050150200250300350400122231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
639
#12
51.61.4
50.251.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.2
1519
#14
71.75.4
66.471.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
422
#22
39.51.4
38.239.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
2626
#44
36.65.4
31.236.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5134
#99
7.71.4
6.37.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.0
229
#87
31.75.4
26.331.7
Auto
Teleop
End