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Red162
295977.5
50368.0
352556.4
Blue158
362060.8
299658.6
458325.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2241270100200300400162158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#30
77.52.4
80.177.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.8
3620
#75
60.80.8
60.060.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
503
#10
68.02.4
70.568.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.4
2996
#20
58.60.8
57.858.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3525
#90
56.42.4
58.856.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.5
4583
#59
25.00.8
24.225.0
Auto
Teleop
End