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Red136
454732.6
401338.6
335413.4
Blue145
453124.2
519637.1
528828.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7581050100150200250136145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4013
#55
38.63.0
35.538.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
5196
#42
37.13.3
33.937.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4547
#70
32.63.0
29.632.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
5288
#58
28.33.3
25.028.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3354
#100
13.43.0
10.413.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.8
4531
#61
24.23.3
21.024.2
Auto
Teleop
End