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Red123
93229.9
108968.1
494431.1
Blue206
346773.0
217578.5
17565.5
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1102440200300400123206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
#16
68.10.4
68.568.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.4
2175
#18
78.50.9
79.678.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4944
#97
31.10.4
31.431.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 41.9
3467
#48
73.00.9
73.873.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
932
#92
29.90.4
30.329.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 35.6
175
#40
65.50.9
70.169.2
Auto
Teleop
End