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Red265
491166.6
218062.8
248599.3
Blue156
167168.5
512318.1
255760.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2391230100200300400265156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2485
#17
99.32.2
94.997.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.8
1671
#53
68.50.8
67.668.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4911
#19
66.62.2
65.567.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
2557
#39
60.70.8
59.660.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2180
#65
62.82.2
60.662.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 44.7
5123
#84
18.10.8
13.314.0
Auto
Teleop
End