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Red261
181664.7
349242.4
259094.5
Blue121
529933.6
361632.9
395937.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215810300400261121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.53.3
93.997.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 56.8
3959
#98
37.71.0
36.737.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1816
#35
64.73.3
61.364.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.1
5299
#74
33.61.0
32.633.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3492
#32
42.43.3
39.042.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.5
3616
#63
32.91.0
31.932.9
Auto
Teleop
End