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Red167
401338.6
78159.4
217578.5
Blue107
477846.5
52734.9
2067.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167114050200250300350400167107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2175
#18
78.50.4
78.178.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.5
20
#77
67.10.8
62.361.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
781
#43
59.40.4
54.154.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.9
4778
#41
46.50.9
34.733.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4013
#55
38.60.5
26.426.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
527
#85
34.90.8
25.524.7
Auto
Teleop
End