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Red90
265552.7
494431.1
399738.9
Blue106
504123.9
63951.6
493060.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081095015020090106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2655
#36
52.70.9
39.538.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
4930
#54
60.80.1
46.346.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3997
#76
38.90.9
32.931.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.7
639
#12
51.60.1
42.142.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4944
#97
31.10.9
36.435.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
5041
#60
23.90.1
19.018.9
Auto
Teleop
End