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Red110
295977.5
494431.1
250020.3
Blue246
154049.5
206774.6
290771.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1271770100200300400110246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#30
77.51.2
81.980.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
2067
#15
74.63.8
66.069.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4944
#97
31.11.2
35.434.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 40.1
71.13.8
59.763.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2500
#62
20.31.2
17.216.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 29.3
1540
#57
49.53.8
43.447.3
Auto
Teleop
End