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Red138
503033.6
504123.9
395937.7
Blue147
93229.9
22931.7
78159.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75104050150200250300138147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3959
#98
37.72.9
29.732.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.7
781
#43
59.42.4
53.355.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5030
#78
33.62.9
33.436.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
229
#87
31.72.4
13.215.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5041
#60
23.92.9
16.419.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
932
#92
29.92.4
32.835.2
Auto
Teleop
End