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Red157
217578.5
453124.2
213781.6
Blue201
153872.2
491450.7
491166.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173199050100150250300350400157201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.61.0
75.074.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.4
1538
#28
72.20.3
68.368.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2175
#18
78.51.0
79.178.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.9
4911
#19
66.60.3
67.667.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4531
#61
24.21.0
22.821.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 26.5
4914
#69
50.70.3
59.259.5
Auto
Teleop
End