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Red111
193939.0
191885.3
503033.6
Blue201
361632.9
219847.8
151971.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166105050150200250300350111201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
#50
85.32.3
79.477.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.5
1519
#14
71.74.3
61.465.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1939
#89
39.02.3
40.237.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.7
2198
#46
47.85.3
34.639.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5030
#78
33.62.3
37.134.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
3616
#63
32.94.3
18.723.0
Auto
Teleop
End