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Quarterfinal 2-12014 Arkansas Regional
Red197
515321.5
233327.1
359350.2
Blue90
453230.2
235217.4
409241.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9088020030040050019790

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3593
#12
50.21.8
47.1→48.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.3
4092
#7
41.00.0
40.8→40.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2333
#18
27.11.8
23.9→25.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.1
4532
#5
30.20.0
30.0→30.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5153
#4
21.51.8
18.3→20.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.2
2352
#24
17.40.0
17.2→17.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—