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Semifinal 1-22014 Arkansas Regional
Red202
393747.8
450026.6
1677.9
Blue91
359350.2
515321.5
233327.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1628805020025030035020291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#1
77.90.9
77.1→78.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 27.6
3593
#12
50.20.1
50.4→50.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3937
#10
47.80.9
47.1→47.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 20.7
2333
#18
27.10.1
27.2→27.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4500
#23
26.60.9
25.9→26.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.1
5153
#4
21.50.1
21.7→21.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—