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Quarterfinal 1-22014 Arkansas Regional
Red185
393747.8
450026.6
1677.9
Blue57
4530.2
83237.8
449029.0
79%Model gave it21%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1588805020025030035018557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#1
77.90.6
76.2→76.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 40.1
832
#16
37.80.7
38.5→37.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3937
#10
47.80.6
46.1→46.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 17.6
45
#13
30.20.7
30.9→30.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4500
#23
26.60.6
24.9→25.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.4
4490
#21
29.00.7
29.8→29.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—