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Semifinal 1-12014 Arkansas Regional
Red170
1677.9
393747.8
450026.6
Blue81
233327.1
515321.5
359350.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1608905020025030035017081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#1
77.90.3
76.8→77.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 27.6
3593
#12
50.20.3
50.7→50.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3937
#10
47.80.3
46.7→47.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 20.7
2333
#18
27.10.3
27.6→27.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4500
#23
26.60.3
25.5→25.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.1
5153
#4
21.50.3
22.0→21.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—