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Quarterfinal 1-12014 Arkansas Regional
Red230
1677.9
393747.8
450026.6
Blue71
83237.8
449029.0
4530.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1529105020025030035023071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#1
77.91.5
74.7→76.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 40.1
832
#16
37.80.5
39.0→38.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3937
#10
47.81.5
44.6→46.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 17.6
45
#13
30.20.5
31.4→30.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4500
#23
26.61.5
23.4→24.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.4
4490
#21
29.00.5
30.2→29.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—