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Qual 782014 Arkansas Regional
Red76
393747.8
170638.1
41832.5
Blue91
366625.4
378323.0
235217.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1354701001502002503007691

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#10
47.82.5
47.2→44.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 22.4
3666
#14
25.41.7
23.7→25.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1706
#11
38.12.5
40.6→38.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 15.1
3783
#20
23.01.7
21.4→23.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
418
#26
32.52.5
33.5→31.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 15.1
2352
#24
17.41.7
15.5→17.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—