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Qual 242014 Arkansas Regional
Red141
396110.6
453522.0
1677.9
Blue115
378428.9
120911.3
181041.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9472050150200250141115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#1
77.94.2
50.4→54.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 36.3
1810
#6
41.53.3
35.4→38.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4535
#27
22.04.2
26.6→30.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.9
3784
#28
28.93.3
21.7→25.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3961
#30
10.64.2
13.8→18.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.6
1209
#38
11.33.3
18.4→21.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—